White pine blister rust

RustMapper: White Pine Blister Rust Risk Across High Elevation Forests in the Western United States

White pine blister rust (WPBR) is one of North America’s most damaging tree epidemics. Aggregating data from more than 80 independent studies across the western U.S. from 1995–2024, we estimate WPBR risk for high-elevation five-needle pine species (High-5) from 1980–2023 in the adaptive management tool RustMapper. WPBR risk is the probability of observing WPBR on the High-5.

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RustMapper comprises the ensemble risk layers archived in the Environmental Data Initiative (EDI) repository. The RustMapper consists of 1. annual (1980–2023) WPBR risk in the Established model based on 5, 10, and 20-year climate summaries; and 2. annual WPBR risk in the Invading model based on 5, 10, and 20-year climate summaries. The model values are the probability of rust occurrence, ranging from 0 to 1. Higher values denote a greater likelihood of WPBR.

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See the WPBR risk visualized from 1980 to 2023 in the RustMapper Shiny App.

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